Friday, August 19, 2022

Status (Covid19) - 3

 


C  Covid19 Pandemic in India :

      The first cases of COVID-19 in India were reported on 30 January 2020 in three towns of Kerala, among three Indian medical students who had returned from Wuhan, the epicenter of the pandemic. Lockdowns were announced in Kerala on 23 March, and in the rest of the country on 25 March. 

COVID-19 has completely and badly affected Indian people. India, has the second-largest population in the world is suffered severely from COVID-19 disease.  COVID-19  has driven the people lives of India as well as rest of the  world, totally in a different way. Hence similar to other countries, India is also  badly troubling now in an enormous way like education and so called best health  infrastructures totally affect the economic condition towards downward direction   of today’s time and the future in a cruel manner. There is no end till now to stop this pandemic and the whole world are facing another COVID-19 aftermath i.e.  Pandemic crisis.  Vaccination drive in India is also poor.  The second wave has made India’s position significantly worse. The total confirmed cases per million now are comparable to those in the rest the world and the rate of vaccination is lower in India.  While death rates seem lower in India, there is massive underreporting.  After accounting for the underreporting within official statistics, India’s total confirmed cases and deaths might exceed that of the rest of the world by a large margin.  Lockdown was announced in India for about two years. There was talk of a trade-off between lives and livelihoods when the Covid-19 crisis erupted last year. As India struggles in the second wave, it is clear that the country did poorly in both dimensions. 

 Economically, India was already in a bad condition before start of this pandemic and now this crisis has created more and more pathetic situation for the people.   All the people lives of both urban and rural areas are deadly affected by this pandemic crisis. On the other hand, this pandemic crisis has worsened all other economic issues in India, including Unemployment, Poverty etc.,  The CMIE Unemployment Data reveals a grim picture, with rural unemployment spiralling to 14.34% and urban unemployment reaching 14.71% as of 16 May 2021.  In the 2020 Global Hunger Index, India ranks 94th out of 107 countries.   

 In India to daily wagers, migrant workers and slum dwellers when livelihood and incomes had stalled completely because of the lockdown.  Migrant workers and daily earners were largely affected due to complete lockdown.   The people who were the breadwinners of their families have succumbed to the virus during the second wave, and there were no effective medicines against the virus.  Shortage of Oxygen cylinder, shortage of ICU bed in the Hospital, expensive treatment in the hospital, worsened the situation of pandemic and death cases.

 From April to June 2020, India’s GDP dropped by a massive 24.4%. According to the latest national income estimates, in the second quarter of the 2020/21 financial year (July to September 2020), the economy contracted by a further 7.4%.  While economies worldwide have been hit hard, India has suffered one of the largest contractions. During the 2020/21 financial year, the rates of decline in GDP for the world were 3.3% and 2.2% for emerging market and developing economies.

 During India’s first stringent national lockdown between April and May 2020, individual income dropped by approximately 40%. The bottom decile of households lost three months’ worth of income.

India, the fastest growing economy, is now in turmoil thanks to the BJP's 8 years of misgovernance,  alleged, adding that inflation is touching an all-time high and so are unemployment levels.  People are knowing that a select group of crony capitalists and industrialists whose wealth has increased manifold.   Adani Group is diverse businesses include port management, electric power generation and transmission, renewable energy, mining, airport operations, natural gas, food processing and infrastructure and many more in other countries.  

NCP and Congress, which shares power with Shiv Sena in Maharashtra, listed rising inflation, high unemployment, "suppression of democracy", failure to safeguard national security, hate politics, historic fall in value of the rupee, "economic collapse" and erosion of social fabric as the eight "failures" of the government. A wrong ideology has ruined communal harmony of the country.

One of the most publicized promises made by Modi during the Lok Sabha elections’ campaign was that the NDA government would credit ₹15 lakh in every citizen’s bank account, after it had brought back the black money stashed overseas.   Party chief Amit Shah later said it was a "jumla" or election gimmick, which was seen as a self-goal that laid the party open to further ridicule.

impact of covid-19 and death in india

The spread of COVID-19 has been largely uneven across the states of India. With 123 million population, Maharashtra was the second most populous and urbanized state in the country. It is one of the more developed states and ranks high on the human development index.  There have political impact influenced on Maharashtra in various ways.  Maharashtra was the worst affected state with respect to COVID-19 infections and mortality.  Until 23rd December 2020, it had 1.9 million cases and 48,876 deaths due to COVID-19, accounting for 19% of total infections and 34% of all COVID-19 attributable deaths in the country. The case-fatality ratio in the state is higher than the national average. It has been observed that the rapid community transmission of the virus in a short time has resulted in a higher incidence of the disease and deaths resulting from it and, consequently, has affected the life expectancy. Many states, including Maharashtra, were experiencing the second and the third waves of the COVID-19 pandemic.  It has also experienced that Maharashtra has been worst affected, but medicines related to the Pandemic was in short, in view of political interference.  With the global literature hinting at the implications of COVID-19 for longevity, it becomes imperative to make a regional assessment of the same owing to the disproportionately high load of infections and deaths due to the pandemic in the region. This assessment involves premature mortality, with its consequential bearing on life expectancy, person-years of life lost, and disability-adjusted life years (DALY). With the age-specific load of the infection and fatalities, person-years of life lost offers an understanding into the skewed share of life lost during the productive years, which has implications not only for a macro assessment, but also for household-level micro assessment. Years of potential life lost (YPLL) is a summary measure of premature mortality that reflects the sum of years lost from a predefined age, such as standard life expectancy. A higher YPLL is indicative of premature mortality and contributes to the compression of life expectancy. DALY measures the disease burden of the population and consists of YPLL and Years Lived with Disability (YLD). DALY serves to understand the implications of differential severity of the disease for individuals conditioned by their age, sex, and any pre-disposed condition. In the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, estimating YPLL and DALY is appropriate as over two-thirds of deaths are under 70 years of age ‘a standard age for estimating YPLL.

If we have a cursory look at the day-to-day figures of positive cases, Maharashtra is definitely reporting the highest number of cases across the country. It was also earmarked that some States are under-reporting the infection and death cases. Maharashtra’s contribution to overall morbidity and mortality due to COVID-19 is significant among all other states in the country. Of the 1.29 crore COVID-19 cases reported across the country, Maharashtra’s contribution stands at almost 32 lakh. Every fourth COVID-19 infected person is from Maharashtra.  

 More than half of the COVID-19 cases in Maharashtra are being reported from four major cities, Mumbai, Thane, Pune and Nagpur. It categorically explains that the extent of urbanization in any community is one of the important determinants for COVID-19 morbidity. Maharashtra is one of the most urbanized (more than 50 per cent) states of India. The scale of urbanization in Maharashtra is comparable only to Kerala and Tamil Nadu. UP, Maharashtra, Bihar, West Bengal and Madhya Pradesh are the five most populous states, but the proportion of urbanization in UP and Bihar is 22 and 11 per cent, respectively. Nearly 70 per cent of the population in Madhya Pradesh and West Bengal is located in rural areas. This demographic profile has a major impact on the COVID-19 transmission dynamics.  some States were under-reporting the infection and death cases.

Shortages of Remdesivir injections in the market were noticed in April and May 2021 due to a sudden surge in the demand for the drug for managing COVID-19 patients, especially, it is made artificial in Maharashtra, for political mileage.   The bench of Bombay High Court said they to know about the reduction in the allocation of Remdesivir to Maharashtra from May 1 to May 9, 2021.  There have been black marketing for the injections.  For the earlier period of ten days, the allocation was 4,30,000 vials, and the same for the next 10 days is 3,74,500. This means a reduction of 60,500 vials of Remdesivir for Maharashtra," the judges said.  In Gujarat State, MLA and MP, was distributing this injection free of cost to their public.  An unprecedented surge in demand of some crucial medicines (Remdesivir, Fabiflu), used in treating Covid patients, has created a mess.  The Government mechanism was also not strengthened in view of increase in infections and politics were played.  After public raised hue and cry, Companies like Cipla or Cadila, and others have increased production.  Millions of Remdesivir may have been exported, citizens suffering due to its shortage, said by Delhi HC.  Several companies in India were manufacturing the medicine and millions of vials of the drug must have been exported, but we do not have enough to cater to our own patients. The court also asked the Centre on what basis it was deciding how much of the drug was to be allocated to the Delhi government and whether anyone can directly approach the manufactures or suppliers for buying the medicine.  

Shortage of Oxygen cylinder for Covid patients :

It is said that Centre has formed an empowered committee for the allocation and every state is being supplied oxygen according to its requirements.  But supply of Oxygen was politicized for few states and caused shortage leading to the death cases.  Targeting the Rajasthan, Maharashtra State government, Central minister claimed that about a year ago, the Centre had allocated funds for oxygen plants and other resources to every state.  At last, high courts of this respective State interfere and started dealing with Central Government, for supply of Oxygen cylinder. 

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/politics-and-nation/oxygen-shortage-rajasthan-govt-levelling-false-allegations-against-centre-says-arjun-ram-meghwal/articleshow/82275889.cms




















   Vaccination was to be a safeguard against the third Covid-19 wave, but was severely botched. Only 18.2 crore people have been vaccinated and 4.16 crore of them have received both doses in the four months since the vaccination drive began on 16 January, but the Centre claimed before a skeptical Supreme Court that the entire population above 18 years, numbering 940 million, will be vaccinated by the year end. The apex court questioned the differential pricing of the vaccines when they were originally proposed to be procured and distributed free by the Centre. In her February budget speech, finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman had announced a provision of Rs35,000 crore for vaccination for 2021-22, but a Right to Information (RTI) response reveals that just Rs.4,488.75 crore has been released to buy vaccines from two domestic companies.

 India has experienced a devastating second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic.

In a new opinion piece, two scientists clarify the failures of vaccine planning and deployment that have contributed to this second wave.

The experts make a series of suggestions for how Indian officials should manage and prioritize the country’s vaccine program.

Between January and May 2021, India bought roughly 350 million doses of the two approved vaccines - the Oxford-AstraZeneca jab, manufactured as Covishield by the Serum Institute of India (SII), and Covaxin by Indian firm Bharat Biotech. At $2 per dose, they were among the cheapest in the world, but not nearly enough to inoculate even 20% of the country's population.

When the pandemic made its landfall at the beginning of 2020, India and South Asia were seen to be much less affected while the rate of morbidity related to the pandemic was much higher in Europe. The delusion of not being affected drove the Indian nation towards figures that are now the second-highest in the world, both in terms of the number of people infected and the mortality rate. With a plummeting economy, sharp fiscal deficit (Business Today, 2020), and rising unemployment, the dire condition of public health infrastructure exposed by the pandemic hit hard (Jaffrelot and Jumle, 2020; Vishnoi, 2020). The government failed to  ‘flatten the curve’ and ramp up testing capabilities (Our World In Data, 2021) despite  the warning by public health officials (Miller, 2020). The rising protests of migrant  workers (Migrant Workers Solidarity Network [MWSN], 2021), questions regarding  the emergency package (Narayanan, 2020) including how short-term reliefs packages  of free food grains were marred by political and administrative hurdles (Business  Today, 2020) – showed clearly that the ‘atmanirbhar Bharat’ (self-reliant/self-sufficient India) mission popularized by Prime Minister Narendra Modi was heading  towards an abyss. Neither the chowkidar (gatekeeper), the chaiwallah  nor  the recent rishiraj/rajarshi (sage king) personae of the prime minister could deal  with this real and unprecedented crisis (Chatterjee et al., 2021). 

Since 2016, Indian economy have suffered too many economic shocks in quick succession.  The currency ban, GST and intermittent lockdowns all reduced employment.


Court Cases (Legal battle) :

https://www.outlookindia.com/website/story/misuse-of-investigative-agencies-by-ruling-party/288034

Sohrabudin Encounter case

Tulsi Prajapati and the arrest of Shri Gulab Chand Kataria, former Home Minister Rajasthan

Ishrat Jehan encounter

The case of Shri D.G. Vanjara,IPS

The case of Harin Pandya

Investigations against Advocate General, certain Ministers and officials of the Gujarat Government

misuse of government institutions :

RBI, CBI, 

Election Commission, 

ED , 

Income Tax, 

NIA, 

CVC, 

Governor, 

LG, 

Police force of Union Territory,

Niti ayog, 

Central Information Commission (CIC) and State Information Commissions (SICs),  

official bodies ranging from the UGC to top officers in research and academic bodies including university appointees like vice chancellors, 


Every institution of democratic governance is being subverted by the ruling party and its government. Agencies like the ED, CBI, Income Tax department and even the Governor’s office are being weaponised to target opposition leaders, to engineer defections in opposition parties and to topple opposition-run state governments.

the government has attempted to subvert the RTI Act and its machinery through pushing amendments – a legislative way of curbing transparency and accountability. In the process, the whole mechanism of information commissions will be made dependant on the government, further weakening it.  It is not new for opposition parties in India. Around six to seven ministers from Mamata Banerjee’s cabinet were facing investigations by the Enforcement Directorate (ED) and Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI). The BJP-led central government has adopted a policy to trouble the governments of non-BJP ruled states and misuse power.

Enforcement Directorate (ED) had issued notices to Congress president Sonia Gandhi and former party chief Rahul Gandhi, it is clear that the Centre is trying to divert public attention from real issues such as inflation and unemployment.  The Congress leader alleged that Modi wants to run the government in a dictatorial manner.

the number of cases taken up by ED for investigation under FEMA saw a sharp rise from 915 in 2014-15 to 5,313 in 2021-22; and likewise the cases under PMLA rose from 178 in 2014-15 to 1,180 in 2021-22. Overall, the number of cases taken up by the ED have risen by nearly five times, from 1,093 in 2014-15 to 5,493 in 2021-22.

PMLA cases in Modi 2.0 regime have gone up by nearly six times

the role of Directorate comes in to picture as and when any contravention under FEMA and occurrence of scheduled offence disclosing the generation of PoC (Proceeds of Crime) as defined under Section 2(1)(u) of PMLA is noticed by the Directorate or a warrant of arrest issued by the Magistrate or Court after taking cognizance of any scheduled offence appended to FEOA and where the amount involved is Rs. 100 crore or above, provided the accused has gone outside India.

Union Minister Nitin Gadkari was shown the way out of the parliamentary committee, which is considered very important in the BJP. Nitin Gadkari has performed well in every department in the tenure of the Modi government so far. However, Nitin Gadkari's failure to get a place in the parliamentary committee raised the eyebrows of the political circle.

It is being said that the reason behind this is the internal rift in the BJP. Nitin Gadkari was often seen taking a stand against Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Amit Shah. That is why the Congress party accused Modi-Shah of throwing Nitin Gadkari out of the parliamentary board.  Devendra Fadnavis seems to be given more priority as the face of the party in Maharashtra instead of Nitin Gadkari from the BJP. Because while removing Gadkari from the parliamentary committee, Modi and Shah have given Devendra Fadnavis a place in BJP's Central Election Committee. Therefore, it is said that Devendra Fadnavis will be active in central politics in the coming years.  In preparation for this, he has been given a place in the Central Election Committee. Devendra Fadnavis has done full justice to both the roles of an administrator and a star campaigner. On the other hand, it is being discussed that the BJP leadership thinks that Gadkari is no longer useful in terms of winning the elections.

Delhi Govt.

The Criminal Investigation Department (CBI) has conducted raids at 21 places including Delhi Deputy Chief Minister Manish Sisodia's house. CBI has taken this action this morning and CBI has raided in Delhi Rajasthan too. On this action, Sisodia has targeted the central government by tweeting. Also, Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal has also condemned this action.    The raid was conducted in connection with alleged irregularities in the excise policy in Delhi. A few days ago, BJP MLA Manjinder Singh Sirsa complained to Delhi Lieutenant Governor Vinay Saxena that Manish Sisodia had benefited big liquor businessmen as part of a political conspiracy. It is possible that CBI has taken action against Manish Sisodia on the basis of that complaint. Meanwhile, Sisodia has made a series of tweets while this action is going on.

CBI has come and they are welcome. We are honest. We are doing the work of building the future of lakhs of children. One who does good work is given similar trouble. This is the misfortune of our country. This is the reason why our country is not number one. We will fully cooperate with the CBI so that the truth emerges at the earliest.  So far many cases have been filed against me but nothing has come out of them. Nothing will come out of this action either. Manish Sisodia tweeted that no one can stop our efforts to provide good education.

The work being done in Delhi's education and health services is being noticed all over the world. They want to stop this work. Due to this reason, the house of Health and Education Minister is being raided. All the good works of 75 years are being stopped. Arvind Kejriwal has tweeted that India is lagging behind due to this reason.

Although it is true that Ghulam Nabi Azad was a leader without wide mass base, it must be admitted that his image was that of the secular and national face of the Congress. Therefore, the defection of Ghulam Nabi (Born on March 7, 1949), who has been an integral part of the Congress for nearly five decades and is on the verge of seventy-five years of age, will definitely have some effect on the Congress.

In short, the price of party service has been paid to them. He was originally a supporter of Sanjay Gandhi. Later, Ghulam Nabi worked as a leader in the special circle of Indira Gandhi, Rajiv Gandhi, Sonia Gandhi for a long time. The sources of the party went directly and indirectly in the hands of Rahul Gandhi and the importance of Ghulam Nabi in the party decreased. It became so low that he became the unannounced spokesperson of a rebel group known as 'G-23', which started in the party against the leadership of Rahul Gandhi.  While leaving the party, Ghulam Nabi wrote a long letter to the in-charge president of the party, Mrs. Sonia Gandhi, saying that his displeasure was expressed in very clear words and no one would say that it was not true. But it should not be forgotten that Ghulam Nabi Azad has not shown enough frankness while expressing it. Be it a political party, an organization, an industry or a business, change in leadership is inevitable. It also happened under the leadership of the Congress party.

Although he lost most of the elections, after 2014, Rahul Gandhi has not failed to raise his voice against Prime Minister Narendra Modi and the BJP in the country. Rahul Gandhi has done no wrong in touring, meeting and protesting all over the country. During this period, as much as Rahul has traveled all over the country, all the leaders of 'G-23' have not traveled as much!  Even in Parliament or Legislature, these Congress leaders have never taken an aggressive stance against Narendra Modi and the government. Not putting the government in trouble by taking an aggressive stance in the House is a help to the government and in return, if the chief of the government sheds tears in the farewell ceremony speech, then we should realize what is the point behind it.

After Jyotiraditya Shinde, Ashwini Kumar, Kapil Sibal, now Ghulam Nabi Azad has made many serious allegations about Rahul Gandhi's leadership. In democratic politics, he and his clan leaders have the right to make such accusations and point fingers at the shortcomings of the party leadership. However, an account should have been presented of what efforts these leaders made in establishing leadership outside the Gandhi family to save the Congress party.  As an organization, the Congress Party is allowed to go to the national level to strengthen and organize public opinion against the government, but what efforts these leaders have made in the state and in their districts, how many protests, marches, sit-ins, and marches have been held against the government. Had Nabi given it, his criticism against Rahul would have received a frank meeting and public sympathy.

It cannot be said that all the allegations made by Ghulam Nabi Azad are baseless. Congress is not just a party, it is a 137 years old idea, it is the image of India. It is not that this idea will disappear immediately with someone's departure, but in the future, the idea will not be allowed to fade away and if his behavior is autocratic, then Rahul Gandhi will have to take a role of introspection, only then will Congress as a party recover. Ghulam Nabi could not achieve such self-examination by staying in the party, he has fallen short somewhere.





Friday, August 12, 2022

Unemployment rate -2

 


Employment schemes fail to ease rural poverty

One of the primary causes of poverty is the continuous expanding army of unemployed in our country. The job seeker is increasing in number at a higher rate than the expansion in employment opportunities.   Structural unemployment arises when the qualification of a person is not sufficient to meet his job responsibilities. It arises due to long term change in the pattern of demand that changes the basic structure of the economy. The person is not able to learn new technologies used in the new expanding economic sectors and they thus may be rendered permanently unemployed. For instance, when computers were introduced, many workers were dislodged because of a mismatch between the existing skills of the workers and the requirement of the job. Although jobs were available, there was a demand for a new kind of skill and qualification. So, persons  with old skills did not get employment in the changed economic regime, and remain  unemployed.  

Causes of Unemployment

The major causes of unemployment in India are as mentioned below:

  • Population explosion.
  • Human Resource management with on job training.
  • Lack of vocational skills or low educational levels of the working population.
  • Labour-intensive sectors suffering from the slowdown in private investment particularly after demonetisation
  • The low productivity in the agriculture sector plus the lack of alternative opportunities for agricultural workers that makes transition among the three sectors difficult.
  • Legal complexities, Inadequate state support, low infrastructural, financial and market linkages to small businesses making such enterprises unviable with cost and compliance overruns.
  • Inadequate growth of infrastructure and low investments in the manufacturing sector, hence restricting the employment potential of the secondary sector.
  • The huge workforce of the country is associated with the informal sector because of a lack of required education or skills, and this data is not captured in employment statistics.
  • The main cause of structural unemployment is the education provided in schools and colleges are not as per the current requirements of the industries. 
  • Regressive social norms that deter women from taking/continuing employment.


Adverse effect of Unemployment

  1. The unemployment in any nation have the following effects on the economy:
  2. The problem of unemployment gives rise to the problem of poverty.
  3. The government suffers extra borrowing burden because unemployment causes a decrease in the production and less consumption of goods and services by the people.
  4. Unemployed persons can easily be enticed by antisocial elements. This makes them lose faith in the democratic values of the country.
  5. People unemployed for a long time may indulge in illegal and wrong activities for earning money which increases crime in the country.
  6. Unemployment affects the economy of the country as the workforce that could have been gainfully employed to generate resources actually gets dependent on the remaining working population.
  7. Defects in Education System: Jobs in the capitalist world have become highly specialised but India’s education system does not provide the right training and specialisation needed for these jobs.

Government Initiative To Control Unemployment

Several policies have been initiated by the government to reduce the unemployment problem in the economy. The policies to reduce unemployment are highlighted below:

  • In 1979 the government launched TRYSEM – Training of Rural Youth for Self-Employment The objective of this scheme was to help unemployed youth of rural areas aged between 18 and 35 years to acquire skills for self-employment. The priority under this scheme was given to women and youth belonging to SC/ST category.
  • The Government launched the IRDP – Integrated Rural Development Programme (IRDP) in the year 1980 to create full employment opportunities in rural areas.
  • A new initiative was tried namely RSETI/RUDSETI in 1982 jointly by Sri Dharmasthala Manjunatheshwara Educational Trust, Canara Bank and Syndicate Bank. The aim of RUDSETI, the acronym of Rural Development And Self Employment Training Institute was to mitigate the unemployment problem among the youth. Rural Self Employment Training Institutes/ RSETIs are now managed by Banks with active cooperation from the state and central Government.
  • The Jawahar Rozgar Yojana (JRY) was started in April 1989 by merging the two existing wage employment programme i.e. RLEGP – Rural Landless Employment Guarantee Programme and NREP – National Rural Employment Programme on an 80:20 cost-sharing basis between the state and centre.
  • MNREGA – Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act launched in 2005 providing the right to work to people. An employment scheme of MGNREGA aimed to provide social security by guaranteeing a minimum of 100 days paid work per year to all the families whose adult members opt for unskilled labour-intensive work. For details on MNREGA check the link provided. 
  • PMKVY – Pradhan Mantri Kaushal Vikas Yojana was launched in 2015. The objective of PMKVY was to enable the youth of the country to take up industry-relevant skill training in order to acquire a secured better livelihood. For further details on Pradhan Mantri Kushal Vikas Yojana check the given link. 
  • The government launched the Start-Up India Scheme in 2016. The aim of Startup India programmes was to develop an ecosystem that nurtures and promotes entrepreneurship across the nation. Check detailed information on Startup India Scheme in the given link. 
  • Stand Up India Scheme also launched in 2016 aimed to facilitate bank loans to women and SC/ST borrowers between Rs 10 lakh and Rs. 1 crore for setting up a greenfield enterprise. Details on Stand-Up India is given in the linked page.
  • National Skill Development Mission was set up in November 2014 to drive the ‘Skill India’ agenda in a ‘Mission Mode’ in order to converge the existing skill training initiatives and combine scale and quality of skilling efforts, with speed. Check the National Skill Development Mission in detail. 

Most countries saw joblessness rise in 2020. But India's rate exceeded most emerging economies like Bangladesh (5.3%), Mexico (4.7%) and Vietnam (2.3%), notes Prof Bansi.

Even salaried jobs have shrunk, according to the CMIE. Part of this could be because firms have used the pandemic to trim their workforce and reduce costs. Studies by Azim Premji University show young workers - 15 to 23 years old - were hardest hit during the 2020 lockdown.

The pandemic is only partly responsible for the sharp decline in jobs, economists say.  
"What has happened in India reflects the fact that policy is being made with little attention to the wellbeing of workers and small businesses, as we saw during the lockdown in 2020,"  For one, these dismal headline numbers don't tell us the whole story about persistent joblessness in India.  The number of active job seekers in the working age population has fallen. The proportion of women, aged 15 and older, in the workforce is among the lowest in the world.

Joblessness rose across urban and rural India in the week ended 25 July 2022, data from the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE) showed, reversing the gains made just a week earlier.  While the national joblessness rate climbed to 7.14% from the previous week’s 5.98%, rural unemployment took a sharp upward turn to 6.75% from 5.1%. In urban India, where economic activity has largely opened up, unemployment climbed marginally to 8.01% from 7.94%, staying above both national and rural figures.  To be sure, the unemployment scenario in July is relatively better than the previous three months when India battled the second wave of the coronavirus pandemic. Since the beginning of July, unemployment in urban India has stayed below 9%, and at the national level, it has remained under 8%.

During the second wave in April and May, India lost around 23 million jobs across formal and informal sectors as states and Union territories imposed strict lockdowns. But as the situation improved, June saw some rebound in work, especially in the informal space, and CMIE data had showed earlier this month that June saw the return of almost eight million jobs.

=================


  • a)   Demonetisation — It failed, but worse is the BJP’s inability to accept that it failed. All propaganda of it cutting terror funding, reducing black cash, eliminating corruption is just absurd. It also killed businesses.
  •  
  • b)   GST Implementation — The tax regime was implemented in a hurry and harmed business. Complicated structure, multiple rates on different items, complex filing… Hopefully it’ll stabilise with time, but it did cause harm. The BJP’s failure to acknowledge as much  is extremely arrogant.
  •  
  • c)   Misuse of CBI and ED — They are being used for political purposes as far as I can see, but even if they aren’t, the fear that these institutions will be unleashed on people if they speak up against anything Modi/Shah-related is real. This is enough to kill dissent, an integral component of democracy.
  •  
  • d)   Electoral bonds — It basically legalises corruption and allows corporates & foreign powers to just buy our political parties. The bonds are anonymous so if a corporate says ‘I’ll give you an electoral bond of Rs 1,000 crore if you pass this specific policy, there will be no prosecution’, there just is no way to establish quid pro quo with an anonymous instrument. This also explains how corruption is reduced at the ministerial level — it isn’t per file/order, it is now like the US,  at the policy level.
  •  
  • e)   Planning Commission reports —This used to be a major source for data. They audited government schemes and stated how things are going. With that gone, there just is no choice but to believe whatever data the government gives you (CAG audits come out after a long time!). NITI Aayog doesn’t have this mandate and is basically a thinktank and PR agency. Plan/non-Plan distinction could have been removed without removing this
  •  
  •  
  • f)     Failure to investigate Kalikho Pul’s suicide note, Judge Loya’s death, Sohrabuddin murder, and the defence of an MLA accused of rape whose relative is accused of killing the girl’s father, with the FIR in the case not registered for over a year..!
  •  
  • g)   Planning Commission reports —This used to be a major source for data. They audited government schemes and stated how things are going. With that gone, there just is no choice but to believe whatever data the government gives you (CAG audits come out after a long time!). NITI Aayog doesn’t have this mandate and is basically a thinktank and PR agency. Plan/non-Plan distinction could have been removed without removing this
  •  
  • h)   The messed up foreign policy with pure grandstanding — China has a port in Sri Lanka, huge interests in Bangladesh and Pakistan  (we’re surrounded); the failure in Maldives (Indian workers not getting visas anymore because of India’s foreign policy debacle) while Modi ji goes out to foreign countries and keeps saying Indians had no respect in the world before 2014 and now they’re supremely respected (This is nonsense. Indian respect in foreign countries was a direct result of our growing economy and IT sector, it hasn’t improved an ounce because of Modi. It might, however, have declined due to beef-driven lynchings, threats to journalists etc.)
  •  
  • i)     Demonetisation — it failed, but worse is BJP’s inability to accept that it failed. All propaganda of it cutting terror funding, reducing cash, eliminating corruption is just absurd. It also killed off businesses.
  •  
  • j)     Failure of schemes and failure to acknowledge/course correct — Sansad Adarsh Gram Yojana, Make In India, Skill Development, Fasal Bima (look at reimbursements — the government is lining the pockets of insurance companies). Failure to acknowledge unemployment and farmers crisis — calling every real issue an opposition stunt.
  •  
  • k)   The high prices of Petrol and Diesel — Modi ji and all BJP ministers + supporters criticized Congress for it heavily and now all of them justify the high prices even though crude is cheaper than it was then! Just unacceptable.
  •  
  • l)     Failure to engage with the most important basic issues — Education and Healthcare. There is just nothing on education which is the nation’s biggest failure. Quality of government schools has deteriorated over the decades (ASER reports) and no action. They did nothing on Healthcare for 4 years, then Ayushman Bharat was announced — that scheme scares me more than nothing being done. Insurance schemes have a terrible track record and this is going the US route, which is a terrible destination for healthcare (watch Sicko by Michael Moore)
  •  
  • m)  The spread and reliance on Fake News. There is some anti-BJP fake news too, but the pro-BJP and anti-opposition fake news outstrips that by miles in number and in reach. Some of it is supporters, but a lot of it comes from the party. It is often hateful and polarizing, which makes it even worse. The online news portals backed by this government are damaging society more than we know.
  •  
  • n)   Speak against the government and you’re anti-National and more recently, anti-Hindu. Legitimate criticism of the government is shut up with this labeling. Prove your nationalism, sing Vande Mataram everywhere (even though BJP leaders don’t know the words themselves, they’ll force you to sing it!). I’m a proud nationalist and my nationalism won’t allow me to let anyone force me to showcase it! I will sing the national anthem and national song with pride when the occasion calls for it, or when I feel like it, but I won’t let anyone force me to sing it based on their whims!
  •  
  • o)   Running news channels that are owned by BJP leaders who’s sole job is to debate Hindu-Muslim, National-Antinational, India-Pakistan and derail the public discourse from issues and logic into polarising emotions. You all know exactly which ones, and you all even know the debaters who’re being rewarded for spewing the vilest propaganda.
  •  
  • p)   The polarisation — the message of development is gone. BJP’s strategy for the next election is polarisation and inciting pseudo nationalism. Modi ji has basically said it himself in speeches — Jinnah; Nehru; Congress leaders didn’t meet Bhagat Singh in jail (fake news from the PM himself!); INC leaders met leaders in Pakistan to defeat Modi in Gujarat; Yogi ji’s speech on how Maharana Pratap was greater than Akbar; JNU students are anti-national they’ll #TukdeTukdeChurChur India — this is all propaganda constructed for a very specific purpose — polarise and win elections — it isn’t the stuff I want to be hearing from my leaders and I refuse to follow anyone who is willing to let the nation burn in riots for political gain.
  •  
  • q)   Remember Unnao? Remember Hathras? Remember Delhi Cantt.? Remember Lakhimpur Kheri? Remember all those cries for dignity?
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